Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

While the NCAA Tournament has many fascinating aspects, perhaps bubble teams fighting for a chance to make said tournament is the most intriguing. Ahead of the majority of conference tournaments kicking off,