Payrolls shed 92,000 jobs in February, openings keep falling, and Goldman says the breakeven rate isn't being met. The labor market is sending a warning.

Surprise lack of growth in January as service sector stagnated, with falls in recruitment activity

Top economist David Rosenberg sees a "very significant" US recession once fiscal stimulus dries up and AI-related capex starts to wane.

The largest prediction market puts the odds of a recession at about 29%.

Economists warn that the war has increased the risk of a recession. And the longer the crisis lasts, the greater the danger to an economy that already looked vulnerable before the chaos in the Middle East.

As the Iran war stokes inflation and economic growth remains tepid, some experts worry about stagflation. How concerned should you be?

Labor-market activity has historically been a strong recession indicator. It just flashed one of its biggest red flags in years.

Japan's economy grew 0.1% in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to the previous three months, avoiding a technical recesssion

Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are beginning to weigh on investor sentiment, with prediction markets signaling a growing concern about the idea of an economic recession. Data from prediction market platform Kalshi shows the implied probability of the United States entering a recession this year has climbed to roughly 35.

When times are tough, not everyone has stocks or bonds they can liquidate. But even some seemingly unremarkable objects can have surprising resale value.