Economic cycles are normal ebbs and flows in the economy that happen in a repeating pattern. Read more about them inside.

To our surprise, the US economy has not entered a recession over the past two years. This is not because a recession has been avoided altogether but because the current economic cycle has been ...

While the NBER collects economic data ostensibly to aid policymakers, the data it acquires is useless without proper economic ...

A recession during the first half of 2023 is looking more likely, but the unusual nature of this economic and trucking freight cycle should help keep trucking from feeling the brunt of it, according ...

The global financial markets and economy have been unable to return to steady growth following the financial crisis that began in 2008. This has not been without occasional bouts of optimism, where ...

In the past five years, India has seen distinct business cycles — a -5.8 per cent GDP contraction in FY21, a strong 9.2 per cent rebound in FY22–FY23, and a moderation to about 6.5 per cent in FY25.

Ken Ferrie advises farmers to navigate agriculture’s cyclical economic waves by managing costs and seizing opportunities during downturns to position themselves for future profitability. If your ...

As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate of 0 ...

Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is breaking down in 2025 as liquidity, macro signals, and sentiment reshape how the market moves.

Just as we put aside shorts and swimsuits to make way for sweaters and wool socks as the weather cools, there are times to favor certain stock sectors over others. But instead of a change in seasons, ...

Editor’s Note: Lakshman Achuthan and Anirvan Banerji are co-founders of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI). The opinions expressed in this commentary are their own. Despite the continued ...

In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) ...