Teams with Lock status have at least a 95% chance to make the tournament, according to the BPI forecast. (Yes, this means that 5% of the time, a team marked as a lock will miss the tourney. We set the threshold there as a nod to the traditional standard for significance testing.)

Conference tournaments in some smaller mid-major men’s leagues get started this week, while power conferences are wrapping up the regular season. Here’s an updated look at the bubble picture as teams make their final auditions to the selection committee,

The men’s college basketball postseason has officially arrived with the Atlantic Sun Conference Tournament beginning Sunday. Several other conference championships will begin throughout the week and run through Selecton Sunday on March 16. The SEC Tournament is March 12-16 in Nashville, Tenn.

Bubble watch drama begins to be really good and enveloping in the middle of February, but in early March, bubble intrigue becomes all-consuming. It's that month, the biggest month of the college basketball season and an explosion of color,